Explainability of artificial intelligence methods has become a crucial issue, especially in the most regulated fields, such as health and finance. In this paper, we provide a global explainable AI method which is based on Lorenz decompositions, thus extending previous contributions based on variance decompositions. This allows the resulting Shapley-Lorenz decomposition to be more generally applicable, and provides a unifying variable importance criterion that combines predictive accuracy with explainability, using a normalised and easy to interpret metric. The proposed decomposition is illustrated within the context of a real financial problem: the prediction of bitcoin prices.

Shapley-Lorenz eXplainable Artificial Intelligence / P. Giudici, E. Raffinetti. - In: EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS. - ISSN 0957-4174. - (2020). [Epub ahead of print]

Shapley-Lorenz eXplainable Artificial Intelligence

E. Raffinetti
Secondo
2020

Abstract

Explainability of artificial intelligence methods has become a crucial issue, especially in the most regulated fields, such as health and finance. In this paper, we provide a global explainable AI method which is based on Lorenz decompositions, thus extending previous contributions based on variance decompositions. This allows the resulting Shapley-Lorenz decomposition to be more generally applicable, and provides a unifying variable importance criterion that combines predictive accuracy with explainability, using a normalised and easy to interpret metric. The proposed decomposition is illustrated within the context of a real financial problem: the prediction of bitcoin prices.
Shapley values; Lorenz Zonoids; Predictive accuracy
Settore SECS-S/01 - Statistica
2020
16-ott-2020
Article (author)
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2434/778573
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