We analyze the optimal debt reduction problem in an uncertainty context. The social planner has a finite horizon and seeks to minimize the social costs associated with debt repayment by taking into account not only the short-run costs of the policy, but also the long-run costs associated with the outstanding level of debt. We characterize the optimal policy and the dynamics of the debt-to-GDP ratio, showing that it will decrease over time if economic policy is effective enough. We characterize how the evolution of the debt-to-GDP ratio depends on the main parameters and we present a simple calibration based on Greek data to illustrate the implications of our analysis in real-world setups.

A note on optimal debt reduction policies / D. la Torre, S. Marsiglio. - In: MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS. - ISSN 1365-1005. - (2019 Feb), pp. 1-11. [Epub ahead of print] [10.1017/S1365100519000014]

A note on optimal debt reduction policies

D. la Torre
Primo
;
2019

Abstract

We analyze the optimal debt reduction problem in an uncertainty context. The social planner has a finite horizon and seeks to minimize the social costs associated with debt repayment by taking into account not only the short-run costs of the policy, but also the long-run costs associated with the outstanding level of debt. We characterize the optimal policy and the dynamics of the debt-to-GDP ratio, showing that it will decrease over time if economic policy is effective enough. We characterize how the evolution of the debt-to-GDP ratio depends on the main parameters and we present a simple calibration based on Greek data to illustrate the implications of our analysis in real-world setups.
Debt Reduction; Optimal Policy; Uncertainty
Settore SECS-P/01 - Economia Politica
Settore SECS-S/06 - Metodi mat. dell'economia e Scienze Attuariali e Finanziarie
feb-2019
feb-2019
Article (author)
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2434/627628
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