Unexplained infertility and age-related infertility: indistinguishable diagnostic entities but different IVF prognosis

Study question: Is IVF indicated for couples with age-related infertility? Summary answer: IVF may be of doubtful utility for age-related infertility. What is known already: A diagnosis of unexplained infertility is drawn when the diagnostic work-up fails to identify any patent cause. Although typically managed uniformly, unexplained infertility is likely to comprise a wide range of conditions, including age-related infertility (at least in older women). Unfortunately, no validated tests for the identification of age-related infertility exist and these women are typically treated as unexplained cases. However, homologous ART may be less effective for these women because these techniques may be unable to treat the detrimental effects of ageing on oocyte competence. Study design, size, duration: Women aged 18-42 years who underwent IVF procedures between January 2014 and December 2021 were selected retrospectively. In the first part of the study, we aimed to assess whether the proportion of women with unexplained infertility (i.e. without patent causes of infertility) increased with age. In the second part of the study, women with unexplained infertility were matched 1:1 by age, study period, and duration of infertility, to those with a patent cause of infertility. If our hypothesis is valid, the first part of the study should highlight an increase in the proportion of unexplained infertility with age. Moreover, in the second part of the study, one should observe a sharper decrease in the rate of IVF success of the procedure with age in women with an unremarkable work-up compared to those with a definite cause of infertility. Participants/materials, setting, methods: Women were included if: they had been trying to conceive for more than 2 years, they had retrieved more than three oocytes, and had not undergone previous IVF attempts. We exclude couples with severe male factor (criptozoospermia), chronic anovulation, untreated hydrosalpinx, or intracavitary diseases. The first part of the study aimed at investigating the relative proportion of unexplained infertility with age. The outcome of the second part was the distribution of the live births between unexplained versus explained infertility, in women younger or older than 35 years. Only the results of the first IVF cycle were considered (including both fresh and frozen cycles). The live birth rate corresponded to the cumulative chance of a live birth per oocyte retrieval. Main results and the role of chance: One thousand five hundred and thirty-five women were selected for the first part of the study; 742 of them had unexplained infertility (48%). The frequency of this diagnosis was lower among women aged <35 years (40%) compared to those ≥35 years (52%) (P < 0.001). A clear gradient emerged when considering smaller intervals of age (P < 0.001). A total of 1134 women (567 unexplained cases and 567 explained cases) were selected for the second part of the study. Baseline variables were comparable between women with unexplained and explained infertility. Among women younger than 35 years (n = 229 unexplained cases and 229 explained cases), 108 live births were observed in women with unexplained infertility (47%) and 88 in those with explained infertility (38%). In comparison, among women older than 35 years, the live births occurred in 90 (27%) and 114 (34%) couples, respectively (P = 0.03). The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for a live birth in older women with unexplained infertility was 0.63 (95% CI: 0.43-0.94). In other words, the effectiveness of IVF in older women with unexplained infertility is reduced by an additional 37% when compared to women of similar age with a patent cause of infertility. Moreover, when considering smaller intervals of age, a gradient of the adverse effect of age on the distribution of live births between unexplained and explained infertility emerged (P = 0.003). Overall, these results support the hypothesis that IVF may be of modest benefit in women with age-related infertility. The decline in IVF success is sharper in women with unexplained infertility compared to those with explained infertility, indirectly suggesting that IVF cannot effectively treat age-related infertility. Limitations, reasons for caution: We postulated that the greater decline in IVF success with age in the unexplained group could be related to the concomitant increase in the proportion of women with age-related infertility. However, even if this is theoretically logical, the unavailability of validated tools to diagnose age-related infertility makes our inference speculative. We cannot exclude that the prevalence of other unknown causes of infertility that cannot also be effectively overcome with IVF could increase with age. Wider implications of the findings: Our findings suggest that IVF may be of modest utility for treating age-related infertility. Offering this procedure to older women with an unremarkable infertility work-up may be questioned. However, the diagnosis of age-related infertility remains challenging and identifying a biomarker that could reliably diagnose age-related infertility is a priority. Study funding/competing interest(s): The study was partially funded by the Italian Ministry of Health-current research IRCCS and by a specific grant supported by Ferring. ES declares receiving honoraria for lectures at meetings from IBSA and Gedeon-Richter and he also handles private grants of research from Ferring, IBSA, Theramex, and Gedeon-Richter. All the other authors do not have any conflict of interest to declare. Trial registration number: N/A.