Reducing the Frequency of Follow-up Cystoscopy in Low-grade pTa Non–muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer Using the ADXBLADDER Biomarker

Background: Non–muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) is one of the most expensive cancers owing to frequent follow-up cystoscopies for detection of recurrence. Objective: To assess if the noninvasive ADXBLADDER urine test could permit a less intensive surveillance schedule for patients with low-grade (LG) pTa tumor without carcinoma in situ (CIS) at the previous diagnosis. Design, setting, and participants: In a prospective, double-blind, multicenter study, 629 patients underwent follow-up cystoscopy, transurethral resection of bladder tumor/biopsy of suspect lesions, and ADXBLADDER testing. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Diagnostic test accuracy and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the impact of ADXBLADDER on decision-making on whether to perform follow-up cystoscopy. The primary endpoint was the negative predictive value (NPV) of ADXBLADDER for detection of high-grade and/or CIS (HG/CIS) recurrence and its impact on reducing unnecessary cystoscopies. Results and limitations: ADXBLADDER had sensitivity of 66.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 34.9–90.1%) and an NPV of 99.15% (95% CI 97.8–99.8%) for detection of HG/CIS recurrence. The probability of HG/CIS recurrence was 5.0% for ADXBLADDER-positive patients and 0.85% for ADXBLADDER-negative patients. For HG/CIS recurrence threshold probabilities between 0.85% and 5.0%, ADXBLADDER yields a net benefit with omission of cystoscopy for ADXBLADDER-negative patients. The corresponding net reduction in unnecessary cystoscopies ranges from 11 to 62 per 100 patients. Conclusions: Patients with LG pTa tumor at the previous diagnosis, for which the risk of HG/CIS recurrence is low and the ADXBLADDER NPV for ruling out HG/CIS recurrence is 99.15%, are ideally suited for a less intensive, personalized follow-up surveillance strategy using ADXBLADDER, with omission of cystoscopy for ADXBLADDER-negative patients. Patient summary: ADXBLADDER is a urine test that can predict the probability of recurrence of bladder cancer. Patients diagnosed with low-grade cancer confined to the bladder mucosa are ideally suited for less intensive follow-up using this test, which could reduce unnecessary cystoscopy procedures for those with a negative result, potentially improve quality of life, and reduce overall health care costs.