Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 has targeted elimination of preventable child mortality, reduction of neonatal death to less than 12 per 1000 livebirths, and reduction of death of children younger than 5 years to less than 25 per 1000 livebirths, for each country by 2030. To understand current rates, recent trends, and potential trajectories of child mortality for the next decade, we present the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 findings for all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality in children younger than 5 years of age, with multiple scenarios for child mortality in 2030 that include the consideration of potential effects of COVID-19, and a novel framework for quantifying optimal child survival.

Global, regional, and national progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 for neonatal and child health: all-cause and cause-specific mortality findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 / K.R. Paulson, A.M. Kamath, T. Alam, K. Bienhoff, G.G. Abady, J. Abbas, M. Abbasi-Kangevari, H. Abbastabar, F. Abd-Allah, S.M. Abd-Elsalam, A. Abdoli, A. Abedi, H. Abolhassani, L.G. Abreu, E. Abu-Gharbieh, N.M. Abu-Rmeileh, A.I. Abushouk, A.L. Adamu, O.M. Adebayo, A.E. Adegbosin, V. Adekanmbi, O.O. Adetokunboh, D.A. Adeyinka, J.C. Adsuar, K. Afshari, M. Aghaali, M. Agudelo-Botero, B.O. Ahinkorah, T. Ahmad, K. Ahmadi, M.B. Ahmed, B. Aji, Y. Akalu, O.O. Akinyemi, A. Aklilu, Z. Al-Aly, K. Alam, F.M. Alanezi, T.M. Alanzi, J.E. Alcalde-Rabanal, A. Al-Eyadhy, T. Ali, G. Alicandro, S.M. Alif, V. Alipour, H. Alizade, S.M. Aljunid, A. Almasi-Hashiani, N.A. Almasri, H.M. Al-Mekhlafi, J. Alonso, R.M. Al-Raddadi, K.A. Altirkawi, A.K. Alumran, N. Alvis-Guzman, N.J. Alvis-Zakzuk, E.K. Ameyaw, S. Amini, M. Amini-Rarani, A.M.L. Amit, D.A. Amugsi, R. Ancuceanu, D. Anderlini, C.L. Andrei, F. Ansari, A. Ansari-Moghaddam, C.A.T. Antonio, E. Antriyandarti, D. Anvari, R. Anwer, M. Aqeel, J. Arabloo, M. Arab-Zozani, T. Aripov, J. Ärnlöv, K.D. Artanti, A. Arzani, M. Asaad, M. Asadi-Aliabadi, A.A. Asadi-Pooya, M. Asghari Jafarabadi, S.S. Athari, S.M. Athari, D.D. Atnafu, A. Atreya, M.S. Atteraya, M. Ausloos, A.T. Awan, B.P. Ayala Quintanilla, G. Ayano, M.A. Ayanore, Y.A. Aynalem, S. Azari, G. Azarian, Z.N. Azene, D.B. B, E. Babaee, A.D. Badiye, A.A. Baig, M. Banach, P.C. Banik, S.L. Barker-Collo, H.J. Barqawi, Q. Bassat, S. Basu, B.T. Baune, M. Bayati, N. Bedi, E. Beghi, M. Beghi, M.L. Bell, S. Bendak, D.A. Bennett, I.M. Bensenor, K. Berhe, A.E. Berman, Y.M. Bezabih, A.S. Bhagavathula, D. Bhandari, N. Bhardwaj, P. Bhardwaj, K. Bhattacharyya, S. Bhattarai, Z.A. Bhutta, B. Bikbov, A. Biondi, B.M. Birihane, R.K. Biswas, S. Bohlouli, N.L. Bragazzi, A.V. Breusov, A.R. Brunoni, K. Burkart, S. Burugina Nagaraja, R. Busse, Z.A. Butt, F.L. Caetano dos Santos, L. Cahuana-Hurtado, P. Camargos, L.A. Cámera, R. Cárdenas, G. Carreras, J.J. Carrero, F. Carvalho, J.M. Castaldelli-Maia, C.A. Castañeda-Orjuela, G. Castelpietra, E. Cerin, J.-. Chang, W.F. Chanie, J. Charan, S. Chatterjee, S.K. Chattu, V.K. Chattu, S. Chaturvedi, S. Chen, D.Y. Cho, J.-.J. Choi, D.-. Chu, L.G. Ciobanu, M. Cirillo, J. Conde, V.M. Costa, R.A.S. Couto, B.A. Dachew, S.M.A. Dahlawi, H. Dai, X. Dai, L. Dandona, R. Dandona, P. Daneshpajouhnejad, G.L. Darmstadt, J.K. Das, C.A. Dávila-Cervantes, A.C. Davis, K. Davletov, F.P. De la Hoz, D. De Leo, F. Deeba, E. Denova-Gutiérrez, N. Dervenis, A. Desalew, K. Deuba, S. Dey, S.D. Dharmaratne, S. Dhingra, G.P. Dhungana, D. Dias da Silva, D. Diaz, F. Dorostkar, L. Doshmangir, E. Dubljanin, A.R. Duraes, A.W. Eagan, H.A. Edinur, F. Efendi, S. Eftekharzadeh, I. El Sayed, M. El Tantawi, I. Elbarazi, I.Y. Elgendy, S.I. El-Jaafary, A. Emami, S. Enany, O. Eyawo, S. 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Zastrozhina, Y. Zhang, Z.-. Zhang, X.-.G. Zhao, A. Ziapour, S.I. Hay, C.J.L. Murray, H. Wang, N.J. Kassebaum. - In: THE LANCET. - ISSN 0140-6736. - 398:10303(2021 Sep 04), pp. 870-905. [10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01207-1]

Global, regional, and national progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 for neonatal and child health: all-cause and cause-specific mortality findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

G. Alicandro;C. La Vecchia;
2021-09-04

Abstract

Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 has targeted elimination of preventable child mortality, reduction of neonatal death to less than 12 per 1000 livebirths, and reduction of death of children younger than 5 years to less than 25 per 1000 livebirths, for each country by 2030. To understand current rates, recent trends, and potential trajectories of child mortality for the next decade, we present the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 findings for all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality in children younger than 5 years of age, with multiple scenarios for child mortality in 2030 that include the consideration of potential effects of COVID-19, and a novel framework for quantifying optimal child survival.
Settore MED/01 - Statistica Medica
17-ago-2021
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