Here, we summarise the unresolved debate about p value and its dichotomisation. We present the statement of the American Statistical Association against the misuse of statistical significance as well as the proposals to abandon the use of p value and to reduce the significance threshold from 0.05 to 0.005. We highlight reasons for a conservative approach, as clinical research needs dichotomic answers to guide decision-making, in particular in the case of diagnostic imaging and interventional radiology. With a reduced p value threshold, the cost of research could increase while spontaneous research could be reduced. Secondary evidence from systematic reviews/meta-analyses, data sharing, and cost-effective analyses are better ways to mitigate the false discovery rate and lack of reproducibility associated with the use of the 0.05 threshold. Importantly, when reporting p values, authors should always provide the actual value, not only statements of “p < 0.05” or “p ≥ 0.05”, because p values give a measure of the degree of data compatibility with the null hypothesis. Notably, radiomics and big data, fuelled by the application of artificial intelligence, involve hundreds/thousands of tested features similarly to other “omics” such as genomics, where a reduction in the significance threshold, based on well-known corrections for multiple testing, has been already adopted.

Statistical significance : p value, 0.05 threshold, and applications to radiomics—reasons for a conservative approach / G. Di Leo, F. Sardanelli. - In: EUROPEAN RADIOLOGY EXPERIMENTAL. - ISSN 2509-9280. - 4:1(2020 Mar 11), pp. 18.1-18.8. [10.1186/s41747-020-0145-y]

Statistical significance : p value, 0.05 threshold, and applications to radiomics—reasons for a conservative approach

F. Sardanelli
2020

Abstract

Here, we summarise the unresolved debate about p value and its dichotomisation. We present the statement of the American Statistical Association against the misuse of statistical significance as well as the proposals to abandon the use of p value and to reduce the significance threshold from 0.05 to 0.005. We highlight reasons for a conservative approach, as clinical research needs dichotomic answers to guide decision-making, in particular in the case of diagnostic imaging and interventional radiology. With a reduced p value threshold, the cost of research could increase while spontaneous research could be reduced. Secondary evidence from systematic reviews/meta-analyses, data sharing, and cost-effective analyses are better ways to mitigate the false discovery rate and lack of reproducibility associated with the use of the 0.05 threshold. Importantly, when reporting p values, authors should always provide the actual value, not only statements of “p < 0.05” or “p ≥ 0.05”, because p values give a measure of the degree of data compatibility with the null hypothesis. Notably, radiomics and big data, fuelled by the application of artificial intelligence, involve hundreds/thousands of tested features similarly to other “omics” such as genomics, where a reduction in the significance threshold, based on well-known corrections for multiple testing, has been already adopted.
Confidence intervals; Decision making; Models (statistical); Radiomics; Reproducibility of results
Settore MED/36 - Diagnostica per Immagini e Radioterapia
11-mar-2020
Article (author)
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2434/750403
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