We show how to compute the expectiles of the risk-neutral distribution from the prices of European call and put options. Empirical properties of these implicit expectiles are studied on a data-set of closing daily prices of FTSE MIB index options. We introduce the interexpectile difference Delta tau (X) := e(tau) (X) - e(1-tau) (X), for tau is an element of (1/2, 1], and suggest that it is a natural measure of the variability of the risk-neutral distribution. We investigate its theoretical and empirical properties and compare it with the VIX index computed by CBOE. We also discuss a theoretical comparison with implicit VaR and CVaR introduced in Barone Adesi [J. Risk Financ. Manage., 2016, 9].
Implicit expectiles and measures of implied volatility / F. Bellini, L. Mercuri, E. Rroji. - In: QUANTITATIVE FINANCE. - ISSN 1469-7688. - 18:11(2018 Nov 02), pp. 1851-1864. [10.1080/14697688.2018.1447680]
Implicit expectiles and measures of implied volatility
L. MercuriPenultimo
;
2018
Abstract
We show how to compute the expectiles of the risk-neutral distribution from the prices of European call and put options. Empirical properties of these implicit expectiles are studied on a data-set of closing daily prices of FTSE MIB index options. We introduce the interexpectile difference Delta tau (X) := e(tau) (X) - e(1-tau) (X), for tau is an element of (1/2, 1], and suggest that it is a natural measure of the variability of the risk-neutral distribution. We investigate its theoretical and empirical properties and compare it with the VIX index computed by CBOE. We also discuss a theoretical comparison with implicit VaR and CVaR introduced in Barone Adesi [J. Risk Financ. Manage., 2016, 9].File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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