We show how to compute the expectiles of the risk-neutral distribution from the prices of European call and put options. Empirical properties of these implicit expectiles are studied on a data-set of closing daily prices of FTSE MIB index options. We introduce the interexpectile difference Delta tau (X) := e(tau) (X) - e(1-tau) (X), for tau is an element of (1/2, 1], and suggest that it is a natural measure of the variability of the risk-neutral distribution. We investigate its theoretical and empirical properties and compare it with the VIX index computed by CBOE. We also discuss a theoretical comparison with implicit VaR and CVaR introduced in Barone Adesi [J. Risk Financ. Manage., 2016, 9].

Implicit expectiles and measures of implied volatility / F. Bellini, L. Mercuri, E. Rroji. - In: QUANTITATIVE FINANCE. - ISSN 1469-7688. - 18:11(2018 Nov 02), pp. 1851-1864. [10.1080/14697688.2018.1447680]

Implicit expectiles and measures of implied volatility

L. Mercuri
Penultimo
;
2018

Abstract

We show how to compute the expectiles of the risk-neutral distribution from the prices of European call and put options. Empirical properties of these implicit expectiles are studied on a data-set of closing daily prices of FTSE MIB index options. We introduce the interexpectile difference Delta tau (X) := e(tau) (X) - e(1-tau) (X), for tau is an element of (1/2, 1], and suggest that it is a natural measure of the variability of the risk-neutral distribution. We investigate its theoretical and empirical properties and compare it with the VIX index computed by CBOE. We also discuss a theoretical comparison with implicit VaR and CVaR introduced in Barone Adesi [J. Risk Financ. Manage., 2016, 9].
Expectiles; Implied volatility; Interexpectile difference; VIX index;
Settore SECS-S/06 - Metodi mat. dell'economia e Scienze Attuariali e Finanziarie
2-nov-2018
apr-2018
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2434/571565
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