We derive lower and upper bounds for the Value-at-Risk of a portfolio of losses when the marginal distributions are known and independence among (some) subgroups of the marginal components is assumed. We provide several actuarial examples showing that the newly proposed bounds strongly improve those available in the literature that are based on the sole knowledge of the marginal distributions. When the variance of the joint portfolio loss is small enough, further improvements can be obtained.

Reduction of value-at-risk bounds via independence and variance information / G. Puccetti, L. Rüschendorf, D. Small, S. Vanduffel. - In: SCANDINAVIAN ACTUARIAL JOURNAL. - ISSN 0346-1238. - 2017:3(2017), pp. 245-266. [10.1080/03461238.2015.1119717]

Reduction of value-at-risk bounds via independence and variance information

G. Puccetti
Primo
;
2017

Abstract

We derive lower and upper bounds for the Value-at-Risk of a portfolio of losses when the marginal distributions are known and independence among (some) subgroups of the marginal components is assumed. We provide several actuarial examples showing that the newly proposed bounds strongly improve those available in the literature that are based on the sole knowledge of the marginal distributions. When the variance of the joint portfolio loss is small enough, further improvements can be obtained.
dependence uncertainty; expected shortfall; model risk; value-at-risk; economics and econometrics; statistics, probability and uncertainty; statistics and probability
Settore SECS-S/06 - Metodi mat. dell'economia e Scienze Attuariali e Finanziarie
Settore MAT/06 - Probabilita' e Statistica Matematica
Settore SECS-S/01 - Statistica
2017
Article (author)
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2434/422978
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