Validation of some pathophysiological mechanisms of the CKD progression theory and outcome prediction in IgA nephropathy

Background: The "remnant kidney" chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression theory based on hemodynamic, proteinuric and inflammatory mechanisms consequent to nephron loss has not been confirmed in a human disease. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether some of these mechanisms are present in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) and predict functional outcome. Methods: In 132 IgAN patients (68 untreated, 64 angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor [ACEi]-treated) fractional excretion of IgG (FEIgG) and alpha1-microglobulin, proteinuria/day and beta-NAG excretion were divided by percentage of nonglobally sclerotic glomeruli ("surviving glomeruli" [SG]) to assess the effective glomerular loss and tubular load of proteins in surviving nephrons. Proteinuric markers were compared between 4 SG groups: group 1: <=50%; group 2: >50% and <80%; group 3: >=80% and <100%; and group 4: 100%. The outcome prediction (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] improvement and stability, progression) was assessed comparing low- and high-risk groups for each marker. Results: Proteinuric markers showed increasing values in parallel with reduction of percentages of SG (p<0.0001). FEIgG/SG, 40-fold higher in patients with SG <=50% vs. SG=100% (0.00040 ± 0.00039 vs. 0.00001 ± 0.00002, p<0.0001), was the most powerful outcome predictor: in ACEi-untreated patients, FEIgG/SG less or greater than 0.00010 predicted eGFR improvement and stability (88% vs. 12%, p<0.0001) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) + eGFR reduction >=50% (2% vs. 87.5%, p<0.0001); ACEi treatment reduced ESRD+eGFR reduction >=50%: 36% vs. 87.5% (p=0.002). In patients with FEIgG/SG <0.00010 the eGFR increase is significantly higher in ACEi-treated for >=70 months versus ACEi-untreated with follow up >=70 months (+35% ± 23% vs. +13% ± 8%, p=0.004). Conclusions: In IgAN, progressive nephron loss is associated with an increase of proteinuric markers of glomerular and tubular damage. FEIgG/SG is the best outcome predictor. These data represent the first validation in a human disease of some pathophysiological mechanisms of CKD progression theory.