Objectives The paper’s objective is to provide an in depth age period cohort analysis of gastric and oral cancers in Italian men. Methods Mortality data from gastric cancer and oral cavity and pharynx cancer in Italian men was obtained from the WHO mortality database for the period 1950-2003. An in depth age period cohort analysis was performed on the data. Results Analysis of gastric cancer mortality showed descending trends for both period and cohort effects. For oral cancer, period effects rose steeply until the late 1980’s to then descend to the last period; cohorts had a downward trend up to 1910 to then rise up the 1960’s, displaying a descent for the effects of the last two birth cohorts. Conclusions The descending effects of period and cohort from gastric cancer in men reflect the effect of the improving quality of life in Italy and predict further falls in mortality. Period effects in oral cancer mortality reflect the influence of smoking cessation in Italian men with a downward trend for most recent years. The cohort effects are probably influenced by alcohol consumption, which has longer lasting consequences, and only show a favourable pattern for the most recent cohorts.
Age period cohort analysis of cancer mortality data: methods and application to italian male mortality data for gastric cancer and cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx / M.C. Malvezzi, P. Bertuccio, V.C. Edefonti. - In: BIOMEDICAL STATISTICS AND CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY. - ISSN 1972-5809. - 3:2(2009), pp. 97-105.
|Titolo:||Age period cohort analysis of cancer mortality data: methods and application to italian male mortality data for gastric cancer and cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx|
MALVEZZI, MATTEO CHARLES (Primo)
BERTUCCIO, PAOLA (Secondo)
EDEFONTI, VALERIA CARLA (Ultimo)
|Parole Chiave:||Age Period Cohort Analysis ; Mortality ; Gastric Cancer ; Oral Cancer ; Italy|
|Settore Scientifico Disciplinare:||Settore MED/01 - Statistica Medica|
|Data di pubblicazione:||2009|
|Appare nelle tipologie:||01 - Articolo su periodico|