In this paper, we attempt to improve the use of optimal designs for the technological field by applying Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations, and by evaluating: i) a hierarchical structure of the observed data; ii) the definition of a specific utility function; iii) model discrim- ination by the predicting point of view. To this end, the Bayesian T- optimality criterion is used and modified considering the specific aims of the study previously mentioned, and other features, such as the consider- ation of quantitative as well as categorical variables. The optimization is achieved by exploiting an Inhomogeneous Markov-Chain algorithm and using the R software. The obtained results, considering different simula- tion scenarios, are satisfactory.

Bayesian Optimal Designs for Reliability / R. Berni, N.D. Nikiforova, F.M. Stefanini (ITALIAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES ON ADVANCES IN STATISTICS). - In: Statistics for Innovation II / [a cura di] E. di Bella, V. Gioia, C. Lagazio, S. Zaccarin. - [s.l] : Springer, 2025 Jun. - ISBN 9783031963025. - pp. 178-183 (( convegno SIS tenutosi a Genova nel 2025 [10.1007/978-3-031-96303-2_29].

Bayesian Optimal Designs for Reliability

F.M. Stefanini
2025

Abstract

In this paper, we attempt to improve the use of optimal designs for the technological field by applying Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations, and by evaluating: i) a hierarchical structure of the observed data; ii) the definition of a specific utility function; iii) model discrim- ination by the predicting point of view. To this end, the Bayesian T- optimality criterion is used and modified considering the specific aims of the study previously mentioned, and other features, such as the consider- ation of quantitative as well as categorical variables. The optimization is achieved by exploiting an Inhomogeneous Markov-Chain algorithm and using the R software. The obtained results, considering different simula- tion scenarios, are satisfactory.
T-optimality; Inhomogeneous Markov-Chain algorithm; MCMC; alloy-surface-finish combination
Settore STAT-01/A - Statistica
Settore STAT-01/B - Statistica per la ricerca sperimentale e tecnologica
giu-2025
Book Part (author)
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2434/1172298
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