he temporary 2021 expansion of the Child Tax Credit (CTC) was intended to reduce child poverty during the COVID-19 pandemic. The expansion's elimination of an existing phase-in with earnings, however, potentially disincentivized labor supply, raising concerns that it would reduce parent employment. We empirically test for employment effects using difference-in-differences analyses with Current Population Survey data. Across many specifications and multiple sub-groups, we find very small, inconsistently signed, statistically insignificant impacts of the 2021 CTC on parental labor force participation and employment.

Effects of the expanded Child Tax Credit on employment outcomes / E. Ananat, B. Glasner, C. Hamilton, Z. Parolin, C. Pignatti. - In: JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS. - ISSN 0047-2727. - 238:(2024 Oct), pp. 105168.1-105168.15. [10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105168]

Effects of the expanded Child Tax Credit on employment outcomes

C. Pignatti
Ultimo
2024

Abstract

he temporary 2021 expansion of the Child Tax Credit (CTC) was intended to reduce child poverty during the COVID-19 pandemic. The expansion's elimination of an existing phase-in with earnings, however, potentially disincentivized labor supply, raising concerns that it would reduce parent employment. We empirically test for employment effects using difference-in-differences analyses with Current Population Survey data. Across many specifications and multiple sub-groups, we find very small, inconsistently signed, statistically insignificant impacts of the 2021 CTC on parental labor force participation and employment.
Child Tax Credit; Employment; Labor supply elasticity
Settore ECON-01/A - Economia politica
Settore ECON-02/A - Politica economica
Settore ECON-03/A - Scienza delle finanze
Settore ECON-04/A - Economia applicata
   The Experience of Poverty in the Post-Industrial Economy
   ExpPov
   European Commission
   Horizon Europe Framework Programme
   101039655
ott-2024
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2434/1136015
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