Probability of Starting Two-Drug Regimen (2DR) vs. Three-Drug Regimen (3DR) in ART-Naïve and ART-Experienced Person with HIV (PWH) Across the First Wave of COVID-19 Pandemic

Background: This study examined the impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on antiretroviral therapy (ART) prescriptions among persons living with HIV (PWH) in Italy. Methods: Data from the ICONA cohort included ART-naïve individuals who started ART between January 2019 and December 2022, and ART-experienced individuals who started new ART with HIV RNA ≤50 cps/mL from January 2016 to December 2022. The analysis focused on the proportion of PWH starting or switching to dual (2DR) versus triple (3DR) ART regimens. Comparisons were made using Chi-square and Kruskal-Wallis tests, with logistic regression (LR) to assess associations, adjusting for sex and age. Results: Among 2481 ART-naïve PWH, 17% were female, with a median age of 40. Using 2020 as the comparator (the lockdown year), the odds ratio (OR) from fitting a LR showed a reduced probability of prescribing 2DR both before and after 2020. The proportion of PWH starting 2DR was 9% in 2019, 18% in 2020, 13% in 2021, and 10% in 2022. Among 12,335 ART-experienced PWH, 20% were female, with a median age of 47. The proportion switching to 2DR rose from 24% in 2016 to 38% in 2020, 62% in 2021, and 65% in 2022, showing a >3-fold higher probability to be switched to 2DR instead of 3DR in recent years (2021-2022). Conclusions: For ART-naive PWH, 2DR initiation did not decrease during the 2020 lockdown but changed in the following years, possibly indicating shifts in clinical practice or resuming HIV services. For ART-experienced PWH, 2DR prescriptions increased significantly over time, especially for INSTI-based regimens.