Objectives: Limited data are available on the long-term outcomes in recent years for late HIV diagnosis (LD). Methods: All subjects with HIV enrolled in the ICONA cohort in 2009-2022 who started antiretroviral treatment (ART) within 4 months from diagnosis were included and divided into: (i) pre-ART CD4 count ≥350/mm3 without AIDS (non-LD), (ii) pre-ART CD4 count <350/mm3 without AIDS (LD asymptomatic), and (iii) with AIDS events pre-ART (LD-AIDS). The estimated probability and independent risk for mortality (all-cause and cause-specific) and treatment failure were evaluated. Results: Of 6813 participants (2448 non-LD, 3198 LD asymptomatic, and 1167 LD-AIDS), 161 (2.4%) died after ART initiation. At survival analysis, a higher probability of all-cause mortality has been identified for LD than non-LD (P <0.001) and within the former, for LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic (P <0.001). After adjusting for confounders, LD showed a higher risk of all-cause mortality (vs non-LD adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 5.51, P <0.001) and, in particular, being an AIDS presenter predicted a greater risk of all-cause (aHR = 4.42, P <0.001), AIDS-related (adjusted subhazard ratio [aSHR] = 16.86, P <0.001), and non-AIDS–related mortality (aSHR = 1.74, P = 0.022) than the rest of the late presenters. Among the short-term survivors in the LD-AIDS group, the long-term mortality was mediated by the lack of immune recovery at 2 years. Finally, LD compared with non-LD and, particularly, among the former, LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic showed a greater risk of treatment failure. Conclusions: In recent years, LD subjects, particularly, AIDS presenters, remained at a higher risk of poorer outcomes. Public health strategies for early HIV diagnosis are urgently needed to constrain the mortality gap.
Persistent poor clinical outcomes of people living with HIV presenting with AIDS and late HIV diagnosis – results from the ICONA cohort in Italy, 2009-2022 / A. Mondi, A. Cozzi-Lepri, A. Tavelli, A. Cingolani, A. Giacomelli, G. Orofino, G. De Girolamo, C. Pinnetti, A. Gori, A. Saracino, A. Bandera, G. Marchetti, E. Girardi, C. Mussini, A. d'Arminio Monforte, A. Antinori. - In: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES. - ISSN 1201-9712. - 142:(2024), pp. 106995.1-106995.10. [10.1016/j.ijid.2024.106995]
Persistent poor clinical outcomes of people living with HIV presenting with AIDS and late HIV diagnosis – results from the ICONA cohort in Italy, 2009-2022
A. Giacomelli;A. Gori;A. Bandera;G. Marchetti;A. d'Arminio Monforte;
2024
Abstract
Objectives: Limited data are available on the long-term outcomes in recent years for late HIV diagnosis (LD). Methods: All subjects with HIV enrolled in the ICONA cohort in 2009-2022 who started antiretroviral treatment (ART) within 4 months from diagnosis were included and divided into: (i) pre-ART CD4 count ≥350/mm3 without AIDS (non-LD), (ii) pre-ART CD4 count <350/mm3 without AIDS (LD asymptomatic), and (iii) with AIDS events pre-ART (LD-AIDS). The estimated probability and independent risk for mortality (all-cause and cause-specific) and treatment failure were evaluated. Results: Of 6813 participants (2448 non-LD, 3198 LD asymptomatic, and 1167 LD-AIDS), 161 (2.4%) died after ART initiation. At survival analysis, a higher probability of all-cause mortality has been identified for LD than non-LD (P <0.001) and within the former, for LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic (P <0.001). After adjusting for confounders, LD showed a higher risk of all-cause mortality (vs non-LD adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 5.51, P <0.001) and, in particular, being an AIDS presenter predicted a greater risk of all-cause (aHR = 4.42, P <0.001), AIDS-related (adjusted subhazard ratio [aSHR] = 16.86, P <0.001), and non-AIDS–related mortality (aSHR = 1.74, P = 0.022) than the rest of the late presenters. Among the short-term survivors in the LD-AIDS group, the long-term mortality was mediated by the lack of immune recovery at 2 years. Finally, LD compared with non-LD and, particularly, among the former, LD-AIDS over LD asymptomatic showed a greater risk of treatment failure. Conclusions: In recent years, LD subjects, particularly, AIDS presenters, remained at a higher risk of poorer outcomes. Public health strategies for early HIV diagnosis are urgently needed to constrain the mortality gap.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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