We study the impact of oil price shocks on the U.S. stock market volatility. We jointly analyze three different structural oil market shocks (i.e., aggregate demand, oil supply, and oil-specific demand shocks) and stock market volatility using a structural vector autoregressive model. Identification is achieved by assuming that the price of crude oil reacts to stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous, but predetermined with respect to the stock market. We show that volatility responds significantly to oil price shocks caused by unexpected changes in aggregate and oil-specific demand, whereas the impact of supply-side shocks is negligible.

How does stock market volatility react to oil price shocks? / A. Bastianin, M. Manera. - In: MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS. - ISSN 1365-1005. - 22:3(2018 Apr), pp. 666-682. [10.1017/S1365100516000353]

How does stock market volatility react to oil price shocks?

A. Bastianin
;
2018

Abstract

We study the impact of oil price shocks on the U.S. stock market volatility. We jointly analyze three different structural oil market shocks (i.e., aggregate demand, oil supply, and oil-specific demand shocks) and stock market volatility using a structural vector autoregressive model. Identification is achieved by assuming that the price of crude oil reacts to stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous, but predetermined with respect to the stock market. We show that volatility responds significantly to oil price shocks caused by unexpected changes in aggregate and oil-specific demand, whereas the impact of supply-side shocks is negligible.
oil price; oil price shocks; realized volatility; stock prices; structural VAR
Settore SECS-P/01 - Economia Politica
Settore SECS-P/02 - Politica Economica
Settore SECS-P/06 - Economia Applicata
Settore SECS-P/05 - Econometria
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apr-2018
16-gen-2017
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2434/468494
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