The Great Recession is a non-trivial test bed for the theory of economic voting, especially if its predictions are decomposed at the party level, as done in this article by analysing the electoral performances of parties competing in 89 national elections held in the 28 member states of the EU between 2003 and 2015. We acknowledge counterintuitively that prime ministers' parties are able to exploit the relatively good state of the economy, while sharing the blame with their allies in times of crisis, counting on the lack of clarity in the attribution of responsibilities and deploying their heresthetic capacities. We further recognize that new parties, more than opposition ones, proportionally profited from the recession. Tough times magnify the alternation between left- and right-wing victories, without necessarily favouring the most radical parties, whereas the EU's supposed responsibility in prolonging the crisis fuelled the success of Eurosceptic parties.

The economic vote at the party level: Electoral behaviour during the Great Recession / M. Giuliani, S.A. Massari. - In: PARTY POLITICS. - ISSN 1354-0688. - 25:3(2019), pp. 461-473. [10.1177/1354068817728214]

The economic vote at the party level: Electoral behaviour during the Great Recession

M. Giuliani;
2019

Abstract

The Great Recession is a non-trivial test bed for the theory of economic voting, especially if its predictions are decomposed at the party level, as done in this article by analysing the electoral performances of parties competing in 89 national elections held in the 28 member states of the EU between 2003 and 2015. We acknowledge counterintuitively that prime ministers' parties are able to exploit the relatively good state of the economy, while sharing the blame with their allies in times of crisis, counting on the lack of clarity in the attribution of responsibilities and deploying their heresthetic capacities. We further recognize that new parties, more than opposition ones, proportionally profited from the recession. Tough times magnify the alternation between left- and right-wing victories, without necessarily favouring the most radical parties, whereas the EU's supposed responsibility in prolonging the crisis fuelled the success of Eurosceptic parties.
economic vote; electoral behaviour; Euroscepticism; Great Recession; retrospective voting
Settore SPS/04 - Scienza Politica
   Politics e Policy in Europa in tempo di crisi: Cause e Conseguenze
   MINISTERO DELL'ISTRUZIONE E DEL MERITO
   2015P7RCL5_001
2019
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/2434/522417
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