Previous authors have found greater political support among electoral winners than losers, but they define winners and losers at a single time point, and employ a dichotomous categorization that neglects possible variations within each group. This study considers both the past history of winning or losing and the impact of ideological distance from the government on a political support indicator –satisfaction with democracy. Using a multilevel model covering thirty-one countries, the authors show that the relationship between winner/loser status and satisfaction with democracy has a marginal dynamic nature and a policy content. Among present losers, previous experience of victory assuaged dissatisfaction, while among those presenting a consolidated ‘winning’ record, only high ideological proximity to the current government boosted political support.
Satisfaction with democracy and the winner/loser debate : the role of policy preferences and past experience / L. Curini, W. Jou, V. Memoli. - In: BRITISH JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE. - ISSN 0007-1234. - 42:2(2012 Apr), pp. 241-261. [10.1017/S0007123411000275]
Satisfaction with democracy and the winner/loser debate : the role of policy preferences and past experience
L. CuriniPrimo
;
2012
Abstract
Previous authors have found greater political support among electoral winners than losers, but they define winners and losers at a single time point, and employ a dichotomous categorization that neglects possible variations within each group. This study considers both the past history of winning or losing and the impact of ideological distance from the government on a political support indicator –satisfaction with democracy. Using a multilevel model covering thirty-one countries, the authors show that the relationship between winner/loser status and satisfaction with democracy has a marginal dynamic nature and a policy content. Among present losers, previous experience of victory assuaged dissatisfaction, while among those presenting a consolidated ‘winning’ record, only high ideological proximity to the current government boosted political support.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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